Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.290690 4.625414 4.985164 5.402535 5.875945 6.399243 7.025628
2025-05-04 3.816589 4.295113 4.845588 5.534168 6.384892 7.418876 8.799029
2025-05-11 3.462130 4.005127 4.658190 5.518207 6.647842 8.123007 10.273204
2025-05-18 3.191845 3.768167 4.484739 5.466516 6.820644 8.697828 11.653911
2025-05-25 2.937596 3.519756 4.261556 5.308746 6.808897 8.990696 12.657181
2025-06-01 2.746552 3.332946 4.096179 5.202415 6.842291 9.335992 13.798678
2025-06-08 2.625467 3.226262 4.024949 5.213925 7.040013 9.951984 15.540755
2025-06-15 2.543256 3.163835 4.006202 5.294272 7.345771 10.785764 17.919988
2025-06-22 2.388197 2.991373 3.819766 5.105960 7.198112 10.812671 18.677102
2025-06-29 2.267147 2.859096 3.681607 4.978424 7.133636 10.974425 19.771326
2025-07-06 2.164641 2.747217 3.565619 4.874887 7.096158 11.176759 21.021193
2025-07-13 2.095278 2.678550 3.508300 4.858329 7.205011 11.676093 23.183053
2025-07-20 2.060723 2.661375 3.531182 4.981047 7.592120 12.846797 27.826083
2025-07-27 2.022028 2.636590 3.541673 5.085893 7.965485 14.092457 33.612190
2025-08-03 1.958342 2.571252 3.484988 5.070834 8.106054 14.847233 38.374595
2025-08-10 1.892996 2.500074 3.414588 5.025316 8.179158 15.458464 43.157060
2025-08-17 1.812336 2.402239 3.296636 4.886492 8.044597 15.516701 45.654719
2025-08-24 1.746734 2.324699 3.207373 4.792780 7.994174 15.789546 49.521298
2025-08-31 1.706873 2.284843 3.176738 4.802930 8.166441 16.715947 58.059300
2025-09-07 1.681483 2.266059 3.179155 4.873742 8.481061 18.149665 72.403740
2025-09-14 1.612327 2.176455 3.060245 4.707665 8.239981 17.836924 73.908486
2025-09-21 1.556914 2.106732 2.971875 4.594963 8.112368 17.864154 78.494973
2025-09-28 1.508431 2.046381 2.896803 4.503332 8.025086 18.007269 84.624612